When I read Muktar M. Omer’s article of “ONLF: Time for Admiral Osman to Go” on Wardernews on Feb 13, 2012, I decided to enlighten the young writers with the right parameters to measure the progress of any liberation struggle. But, sadly Wardheernews.com refused to publish my article, because my views did not match what they are meant to.

The author started his paper saying “I am only trying to salvage the struggle, not to weaken it” That could in fact be a good intention, but after reading the result of his analysis, many innocent people may think that he made a profound research on the subject he judged and his intentions were good. However, there are many insights that the writer indispensably needed to consider before evaluating the kind of progress a liberation front may make or may be expected. There are a number of parameters that he hasn’t used to determine the growth of ONLF and whether they are making progress or not. There are scores of yardsticks that could be employed to quantify the progress of such a kind of entity and some of the parameter may have a good deal of weight than others, while many indicators of success may have less than one percent weight. The reason that compelled me to comment on Mukhtar’s judgment is that several people may not search the reliability of the result of his analysis, because if the reliability of his finding is very low, his whole message will be discredited.

Quoting again the writers statements, he said “We cannot fault the ONLF leadership for their efforts. They tried their best. But, in the end, we judge them by their results, not by their efforts”. As a rule of the thumb that is common sense to attract the attention of the readers, and I will agree with you to use this as a concluding balance for our final judgement.

I do not mean to defend ONLF or the Admiral, but just for the common good, to edify the writer of this article a superior message that would help him in the future to make a fine judgement before he tries to evaluate and analyse such a kind of complex organisation that consist of social, political, military, diplomatic, environmental as well as historical anecdote. I would like to coach the young writer the right parameters that he must have used by disproving his findings as shown in the following statements:
In liberation struggles, survival is tolerable as a benchmark of success only in the battlefields, faced against a mightier adversary. A liberation front, fighting for a just cause, cannot be expected to be content with survival for more than two decades. It must make progress; it must win new allies; it must broaden its support base. Far from achieving this, the ONLF is stagnating. There is no single idea, strategy or support base that has joined the Front for over a decade.

As I said before, there is one immense inaccuracy the writer made. He used off beam parameters to measure the development that a liberation struggle could be expected to compose. While the writer was making this analysis, he completely ignored that at this very moment, the most inhuman acts of barbarism and cannibalism are being perpetrated in Ogaden by the criminal Neo-Nazi Abyssinian thugs of the tyrant Meles Zenawi, using Janjawit-like militia they named Liyu-police as death squads who shamelessly impersonate the only force. Hence the writer put his emphasis on his mere subjective judgment of what he did not have a handle on it very much.

In order to measure the success of any liberation organisation, the young writer should have used the following indicators of success: The mission of the organisation; the impression of the world towards the fighting organisation; the power of the occupying regime or government whatever you call it over the liberation organisation; the support of the people in the region to the organisation; the military might of the struggle; the organization’s allies; and the political flexibility of the struggle; These are only seven of the ten important factors that we can measure the nature of advancement a liberation struggle could make. The other three are exceptionally very internal and only insiders can understand and measure them. But, idle people like my friend Mukhtar and I cannot assess them without further in-depth investigation.

Those questions could be subjectively answered, but it may be biased to put them qualitatively in a categorized way if we simply measure the outcome as less or more, small or big, good or bad. On the other hand, one requires to have their original numbers when one has to quantify their current numbers. Mukhtar doesn’t seem to have all these in hand when he started writing his inoperative speech. Let me shed some light on these seven factors:

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